UPDATE Plan for a wintry mix during the Wednesday morning commute, but itll turn to rain by the aft
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A mix of clouds and sun early followed by cloudy skies this afternoon. High around 45F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph..
Cloudy. Snow likely late. Low near 30F. Winds light and variable. Chance of snow 100 percent . 1 to 3 inches of snow expected.
Updated: February 19, 2019 @ 11:19 am
Expected range of snow and sleet accumulations in central Virginia by Wednesday, according to the Tuesday morning forecast from the National Weather Service in Wakefield.
Areas under a winter storm warning pink and winter weather advisory purple for Tuesday night and Wednesday, as of Tuesday morning. Labels show the expiration times.
Simulation of winter weather in the region from Tuesday night to Thursday morning, from Tuesday mornings NAM computer model. Snow is shown in blue, sleet in purple, freezing rain in pink and rain in green and yellow.
A thin glaze of ice is expected to coat elevated surfaces along and west of Interstate 95 on Wednesday, according to the Tuesday morning forecast from the National Weather Service in Wakefield.
Snow and ice could hamper travel across the region beginning tonight and lasting into Wednesday afternoon.
A winter storm will bring significant snow totals to the northern and western parts of the state, a lighter wintry mix to central Virginia, and mostly rain for Tidewater.
Areas under a winter storm warning pink and winter weather advisory purple for Tuesday night and Wednesday, as of Tuesday morning. Labels show the expiration times.
Snow and ice amounts wont be major in the Richmond region, but the combination could be enough to create problems for drivers.
Its not going to be an all snow winter storm like we saw in December. This one will likely start with a period of snow, but change to an icy wintry mix, then end up as a plain old soaking rain. That means the snow wont stick around for days, either.
Snow and sleet amounts of 1 to 2 inches could fall across metro Richmond on Wednesday morning, with less than 1 inch towards Petersburg and Williamsburg and points southeast. Projected totals increase to about 4 inches for Charlottesville and Fredericksburg.
Snow and sleet will gradually transition to freezing rain on Wednesday morning, with glaze ice up to a tenth inch on elevated surfaces across much of the Piedmont west of Interstate 95.
Expected range of snow and sleet accumulations in central Virginia by Wednesday, according to the Tuesday morning forecast from the National Weather Service in Wakefield.
These amounts arent set in stone. If the switch to sleet or freezing rain happens early, Richmond could see less than 1 inch of snow ending before daybreak. If the freezing temperatures last into the afternoon, freezing rain amounts could be higher.
Around the state, the heaviest snow will fall from the Shenandoah Valley to Winchester and the suburbs of Washington. That region is likely to see at least 6 inches of snow.
A thin glaze of ice is expected to coat elevated surfaces along and west of Interstate 95 on Wednesday, according to the Tuesday morning forecast from the National Weather Service in Wakefield.
The most significant freezing rain concerns will be in the higher elevations along and west of the Blue Ridge. The Alleghany Highlands could see a quarter inch or more of ice, enough to damage trees and power lines.
The mountains will be slowest to warm above freezing. Wintry mix should transition to a regular rain for the Interstate 81 corridor by Wednesday evening.
Simulation of winter weather in the region from Tuesday night to Thursday morning, from Tuesday mornings NAM computer model. Snow is shown in blue, sleet in purple, freezing rain in pink and rain in green and yellow.
Today: Dry but increasingly cloudy.
Tuesday night: Snow moves in from southwest to northeast, likely starting after midnight but before daybreak in the Richmond area.
Wednesday: Wintry precipitation is most likely between 3 a.m. and noon, with a progression of snow to sleet to freezing rain or freezing drizzle during that time. Most areas will have rain by the afternoon commute, but freezing rain could linger in the Piedmont counties west of Richmond through midafternoon.
Wednesday night: Rain will continue on and off, but theres no concern of additional snow or ice in central Virginia. Refreezing is not expected either, because a strong warm front will push our temperatures from the 30s to the 40s by Thursday morning.
Thursday: If rain hasnt already washed away the snow and ice, much warmer temperatures will finish the job. Clouds and showers will continue, but expect a much warmer high in the upper 50s or lower 60s.
Look for more updates to this story later today.
Check for John Boyers videos and forecast updates. Contact him at .
John Boyer is the first staff meteorologist for the Richmond Times Dispatch. He joined the RTD newsroom in November 2016. Boyer earned his degree in meteorology from North Carolina State University in Raleigh.
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