Thứ Sáu, 2 tháng 11, 2018

Waching daily Nov 2 2018

Hello investors, my name is Sagar and in this video, I'll talk about portfolio management

and at the end, I will also give some tips, so you can apply them in your portfolio

so what is portfolio management? Imagine you have 100 000 Rs and you want to invest them in the stock market

So how should you invest that money ? should you put it all in one stock ?

maybe 2 or 3 stocks ? How should you distribute your capital ? That is what we will talk about today.

Usually when you will ask people about capital allocation they will tell you, just put 2 % in any company

that means 2 000 Rs in any company or maybe 10 % ( 10 000 ) Rs in any company

But there is never a fixed number and I will explain this with an example.

Imagine I take you to a shop and I offer you 10 phones (Lenovo , Apple , Samsung, Oppo )

and you can take 6 phones of any brand. If you want you can take 6 phones of the same brand

So what would you do ? if you like apple as a brand , you will take 6 of that .

but this is not what people do in the stock market. In the stock market, if someone likes Apple, they will take 2

but then give me more of Lenovo , Samsung and oppo

Something similar happens in the stock market. You have 5 000 companies in the market

out of 5 000 companies if you like one company , should you buy a lot of it ? or buy just a little and invest in other companies also

That is why I used this example so I can explain that if you like something , you shouldn't be investing just 2%

you should buy a lot because if you like the company and the price, it will give you great returns

but then how much should we invest ? 5 % of our portfolio or 10 % in one company ?

So in the case of 100 000 Rs , 10 %would be 10 000 Rs. I will show you how I do it.

I decided from the beginning that I will invest in only 4 or 5 companies

So in the case of 100 000 Rs , I will invest 20 000 Rs in each company

But why 20 000. There are 2 main reasons. First, when I like something, I like to invest a lot in it.

Just like the example I told you, if I like Apple I will buy more of it.

So , 20 - 25 % is ok but don't invest 70 or 80 % in one company.

that's simply because there is always risk in the stock market as there are elements which we can't control

So, if we invest in breweries and the Government imposes a new rule, that would affect our company

and that is something out of my control and if the company is very small, it might even close

but I know many people who won't feel comfortable investing 20 - 25 % in one company

many friends of mine just invest 10 % in a single company but that's because they are not comfortable with 4 stocks

if you have 4 stocks in your portfolio and you can't sleep well, then 4 stocks is not ideal for you

because that doesn't suit your personality. If you feel comfortable with 10 or 15 stocks

in that case, you should invest in 10 stocks as that's ideal for you and you don't need to invest like me

but I would suggest everyone not to invest in more than 10 stocks, when you invest in more than 15, the effect is drastic

Imagine we both have 100 000 Rs to invest and I invest 25 000 Rs in one stocks

and you decide to invest 10 000 Rs in the same stock. The stock then doubles so from 20 Rs to 40 Rs

My 25 000 Rs investment doubles to 50 000 Rs but you 10 000 Rs investment doubles to only 20 000

So when nay stock doubles or triples, the more you invest in the company, the better results you will have

that's why I suggest investing more in companies that you like

if you invest just 5 % in any company you like, you will be leaving money on the table

but why am I insisting in buying more in a company you like?

when you see other investors, you will see they invest in very small quantities in a single company

So, if they have 100 000 Rs to invest, they will invest 5 000 Rs in one company. That means they will have around 20 stocks in their portfolio

If you want to over perform them, which everyone wants to do , you can't invest the same way they do

if you want to win the same, you will have to do something different, this can be investing 15 or 20 % in a single company

but there is a small disadvantage. If you make a bad investment decision, let's say 2 out of your 4 decisions are bad

then you will take a big loss, so you need to act very carefully. So if it's your first year in investing

Then don't invest 20 %in a single company , better put only 10 % maximum in a single company

and as you get advanced, you can start concentrating your portfolio

So now you can shift from 10 %in a single company to 15 % then 20 and lastly 25 %

I wouldn't recommend more than 25 %as there are some risks which we can't control directly

There is one last advantage. Imagine you have 100 000 Rs and you are going to invest 25 000 s in a single company, firstly you will be very nervous

as you are making a huge bet but you will also do a detailed analysis on the company

because you know you will invest only in 4 companies and if anything goes wrong, you will have big losses

So you will do a great and detailed research and you will benefit from that indirectly.

For more infomation >> हिंदी - What is portfolio management and how to do it - Duration: 7:51.

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Thanks for picking me up. No problemo my friend! Lucky for you I'm headed to

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This Is How Stephen Hawking Predicted The End Of The World - Duration: 4:17.

Every generation has a few truly exceptional minds, and Stephen Hawking was one of the

most brilliant we had to offer.

When he passed away in 2018, the world lost one of the few people who probably could have

thought of a way out of the mess that we've made of the world.

But he may have left us one last gift, and that's a warning that the end is nigh.

This is what he thought was going to happen.

Just a few weeks before he died, he released a paper called "A Smooth Exit From Eternal

Inflation?" and it's a strangely beautiful look at how he believed the universe began,

grew, and will finally end.

It's abstract and complicated stuff that even most scientists don't understand, and dissecting

what it's all about isn't easy.

At the heart of the matter is this: Stephen Hawking and paper co-author Thomas Hertog

essentially speculate the end of the universe will be something of a relatively smooth transition

into the after, and cosmologist Andrei Linde translated a bit of the heaviest stuff like

this:

"They argue that the end of eternal inflation (the expansion of the universe) may occur

in a smooth way, and the variety of the possible outcomes is limited."

That's vague, and a sort of anti-climactic end to the universe, but there's a good chance

no one on Earth will be around to see it.

When it comes to the end of our own world, however, Hawking made some incredibly dire

predictions about it.

Wired asked him about the relentless march toward developing artificial intelligence,

and he warned it might mean the end of mankind in a way that we've long thought of as being

science fiction.

"The genie is out of the bottle.

We […] need to be mindful of its very real dangers.

I fear that AI may replace humans altogether.

[…] Someone will design AI that replicates itself.

This will be a new form of life that will outperform humans."

Speaking at a summit in Portugal in 2017, he warned that the rise of AI had the potential

to be incredibly dangerous.

He's spoken about it for years, and in 2014 told John Oliver:

"Artificial intelligence could be a real danger in the not too distant future.

It could design improvements to itself and outsmart us all"

He foresaw not just autonomous robots but autonomous weapons, too, and when one of the

most brilliant minds in the world warns that science fiction might become science fact,

the rest of the species should probably listen.

"Why should I not be excited about fighting a robot?"

You would lose."

He's also suggested we're in danger of destroying ourselves before we even get that far, and

in 2017, he talked to the BBC about how we're doing it.

A huge part of our mistakes involve climate change, and he cited US President Donald Trump's

decision to withdraw America from the Paris Agreement as particularly worrying.

He said:

"We are close to the tipping point where global warming becomes irreversible.

Trump's action could push Earth over the brink […] and [by] pulling out of the Paris climate

agreement, Donald Trump will cause unavoidable environmental damage to our beautiful planet,

endangering the natural world for us and our children."

Hawking was absolutely not kidding around, and when he spoke at the Starmus IV Festival

in 2017, he stressed how important it was that we find a way to colonize other planets

if we want the human race to survive.

Only the previous year, Hawking predicting that mankind had only about 1,000 years before

the planet became incapable of supporting human life, and we needed to find a new place

to live, pretty pronto.

At the time, he was optimistic that mankind would get its act together, but by 2017, he

revised his time frame to a mere 100 years.

Some might be able to agree it was a rough year, but that rough?

Hawking also made some other comments in 2017 that got almost just as much attention.

At the Tencent WE Summit he predicted overpopulation and the subsequent energy consumption were

going to get to an unsustainable point in just 600 years … give or take.

Put it all together, and he paints a pretty dire picture of our world's future if things

continue in the direction they're going.

Overpopulation, climate change, energy consumption, artificial intelligence leading to a major

war against machines … those are all things humans are doing to ruin the planet, but Hawking

has also said there's the chance the end of the world is going to come from something

well beyond the control of any human.

During his talk at the BBC's 2016 Reith Lectures, he warned,

"Although the chance of a disaster to planet Earth in a given year may be quite low, it

adds up over time and becomes a near certainty in the next thousand or ten thousand years."

"And pray that there's intelligent life somewhere out in space, cause there's bugger all down

here on Earth"

For more infomation >> This Is How Stephen Hawking Predicted The End Of The World - Duration: 4:17.

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Going Beyond Your Top 5 is Powerful - Duration: 1:19.

I've been coaching for about two years as a certified coach and every time I

coach someone with their Top Five all I want to know is what their number six is.

It's all I can think about. I'm trying to pick and guess what it is, and for me

finding out that Relator was my sixth strength brought everything into focus

it's the first time a relationship building theme shows up in my

strengths and it really defined a lot of why I do what I do and how I do it. So as

you go beyond the five and it is so much more powerful to start to see everything

that you are across the spectrum of the thirty four themes, so I think doing that

for students early on in their college career gives them that sense of

self-awareness and understanding and allows them to step up in a way that they lead and

do their work. It's also really a helpful opportunity for them to see where other

people's themes show up in their list of thirty four, I think the conversations become much

more robust, so I love it, I live to coach for thirty four.

There's so much more to talk about and any opportunity to have to talk more and go

deeper with a student the better it is for them and the better it is for us.

For more infomation >> Going Beyond Your Top 5 is Powerful - Duration: 1:19.

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Bob's Discount Furniture is Coming to Las Vegas! - Duration: 0:31.

Thanks for picking me up.

No problemo my friend!

Lucky for you I'm headed to Las Vegas to open two state of the art Bob's Discount Furniture stores

In Summerland and Henderson

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With no phony sales or gimmicks ever!

I'm just going to turn on the radio.

"Hello it's me Bob from Bob's Discount Furniture"

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