Waching daily Oct 4 2017

Conspiracy theories feel like they're rational

but that's because our brains are hardwired in a way

that causes us to make cognitive mistakes.

Humans are generally very good

at understanding the world around us.

We look for cause and effect, we seek out patterns,

and we ask why events happened and who caused them.

But those same impulses are also subject to cognitive biases that

can cause us to come up with incorrect theories about the world.

For example...

It makes us uncomfortable when events are random

so we tend to look for patterns where they don't exist.

Place your bets.

♪♪

Huh, it's been red the last ten times.

We're due for a black!

Put it all on black, baby!

Red. Ah, Spritz! Ah, Spritz! Ah, Spritz! Ah, Spritz! Ah, Spritz! Ah, Spritz!

Ah, Spritz!

We're also subject to what's called intentionality bias.

That means when something negative happens to us,

even when it's an accident,

we tend to assume that someone did it intentionally.

I'm sorry, it got damaged in shipping.

The postal service did this on purpose...

because they want me to pay extra for mail insurance!

I'm onto your scheme!

For more infomation >> Adam Ruins Everything - Why Your Brain Is Hardwired to Make Mistakes | truTV - Duration: 1:29.

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Mass Shootings in the United States: 'This Is Who We Are' - Duration: 2:12.

The slaughter in Las Vegas

underscores something we'd rather not face, but is true:

mass shootings will continue to happen in the United States.

American exceptionalism is a real thing.

I've spent a lot of my life outside my home country,

and the more I've seen and admired elsewhere,

the more I've also appreciated the energy,

the possibility,

and the inclusive promise that is America at its best.

But I also know the very worst of American exceptionalism,

which is what the world is seeing now in Las Vegas--

and has seen before in Newtown and Aurora and Charleston

and Oak Creek and Orlando and San Bernardino.

Scores are dead, hundreds are injured,

thousands of families and communities are forever changed.

Politicians offer their "thoughts and prayers"

and support — but not their actions,

to change our implicit decision

to let mass shootings go on.

And it is a decision.

Because every other advanced society on earth

has chosen to deal with this threat rather than

to grieve momentarily and turn away.

Every country has disturbed and angry people.

Many have hunting and hobbyist cultures

But no advanced society, except this one,

keeps having gun massacres.

Australia had one, in 1996—its Port Arthur Massacre.

Then its conservative government applied a

variety of moderate controls,

especially on assault weapons.

It has not had a gun massacre since.

Scotland had its Dunblane massacre that same year.

That country's conservative government

applied controls,

and it has had no comparable killings.

Norway had one in 2011—and responded,

and has had nothing more on this scale.

No single reform,

from better background checks to limits on ammunition

or on weapons designed for soldiers on the battlefield,

can prevent every possible attack.

But their combined effect,

when tried everywhere else on Earth,

has had an undeniable impact:

the massacres have stopped.

America adapts to other problems,

realities, and possibilities—

but not this one.

This is who we are.