Thứ Sáu, 2 tháng 11, 2018

Waching daily Nov 2 2018

coloring smiling face emoji with glitter - paint for toddlers and drawing for kids

For more infomation >> Coloring Smiling Face Emoji with Glitter - Paint for toddlers and drawing for kids - Duration: 1:59.

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Dermot Mulroney Says He Totally Gets Mistaken For Dylan McDermott All The Time | Access - Duration: 7:10.

For more infomation >> Dermot Mulroney Says He Totally Gets Mistaken For Dylan McDermott All The Time | Access - Duration: 7:10.

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Trump supporter apologizes to Jim Acosta for heated moment - Duration: 3:50.

For more infomation >> Trump supporter apologizes to Jim Acosta for heated moment - Duration: 3:50.

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Acnelase Treatment Testimonial for Scarring - Duration: 0:27.

- Hello, I came into FACE and I got a treatment

called Aerolase Neo.

I had some issues with my face, like some acne,

my texture and everything.

And after the treatment, after 24 hours, I was ecstatic.

My skin texture was way smoother, it was less inflamed,

the itching went down, and I'm so excited

for the next two treatments I'm gonna get,

and I'm gonna see how things go.

For more infomation >> Acnelase Treatment Testimonial for Scarring - Duration: 0:27.

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IQMR QUALITATIVE METHODS FOR CAUSAL ANALYSIS -James Mahoney - Duration: 2:12.

- I teach a module on case study and imperative methods

that focuses on giving students tools for making inferences

about individual cases,

or a small number of individual cases.

And those inferences are designed to help them

carry out concepts effectively,

make causal inferences rigorously,

write narratives that are persuasive

and convincing and linked to overarching theories.

Oriented toward students who are working

on a whole diverse range of research topics.

The module that I teach is focused on qualitative methods

and, especially for political scientists, they may not have

any graduate seminar on qualitative methods or, if they do,

it may be a few weeks of an overarching seminar on methods.

And my module provides in-depth study of

the method of process tracing and of small-end methods

of causal inference that are not ordinarily taught

in the typical methods graduate sequence.

And these are set theoretic methods and logical methods

that fall outside of the domain of statistics.

The module provides new tools

for carrying out concept formation.

And, so, I like to think at the end of the module

almost all students will have new ideas

for how to better define and better create their concepts

and better situate those concepts in relationship to theory

and in relationship to each other.

Second for students who have hypotheses

that involve causes, I like to think they come out

of the module with new ways for thinking about

different kinds of causes

that are used in qualitative research,

why one cause is more important than another,

and how we can use evidence and data

to assess the relative importance of causes.

There's a lot of demand for qualitative methodology,

but not that many suppliers.

The tremendous interest in this institute

grows out of the fact that, at home institutions,

there's often zero faculty who work on

qualitative methodology.

For more infomation >> IQMR QUALITATIVE METHODS FOR CAUSAL ANALYSIS -James Mahoney - Duration: 2:12.

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9th annual Pie Social for Roosevelt Row this weekend - Duration: 3:11.

For more infomation >> 9th annual Pie Social for Roosevelt Row this weekend - Duration: 3:11.

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Core Making Process for Ductile Iron Pipe - Duration: 0:55.

Sand cores keep the molten iron inside the mold and formed the bell of the pipe

during the casting process. A close look at a core reveals the inverse shape of

the bell of a pipe. To create a core operators injects sand into a hot mold

that bakes the sand into its desired shape. There are many different shapes

and sizes of cores. Once the core is baked together, core room operators

carefully inspect each piece and finish them by hand. They file down small bumps

left from the mold and spray the core with refractory coating. This coating

prevents the molten metal from eroding the sand and gives the pipe Bell a

smooth finish. These sacrificial cores are only used one time. The heat of the

iron makes them crumble, and they are removed by the casting machine operator

before being sent to the annealing oven.

For more infomation >> Core Making Process for Ductile Iron Pipe - Duration: 0:55.

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McComb man wanted for sexual assault charge - Duration: 0:15.

For more infomation >> McComb man wanted for sexual assault charge - Duration: 0:15.

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Heckles, jabs, coded insults Floridas battle for governor exposes bitter racial divide US news - Duration: 10:42.

Heckles, jabs, coded insults Floridas battle for governor exposes bitter racial divide US news

Democrat Andrew Gillum is bidding to become Florida's first black governor. Ron DeSantis is a Trump-style Republican. And the topic of race has been impossible to ignore

Democrat Andrew Gillum is bidding to become Florida's first black governor. Ron DeSantis is a Trump-style Republican. And the topic of race has been impossible to ignore

It was an immediate viral moment.

Andrew Gillum, a Democrat seeking to become the first black governor in Florida's history, turned to his Republican opponent, Ron DeSantis, with a blistering critique amid an unusually contentious debate.

"I'm not calling Mr DeSantis a racist," Gillum declared. "I'm simply saying the racists believe he's a racist."

Likely a defining moment in the race to be Florida's governor, the exchange epitomized the sharp and increasingly personal tone that has engulfed American politics under Donald Trump.

Florida, one of the country's largest battlegrounds, ranks among the most competitive and closely watched contests.

On one side is Gillum, the mayor of state capital Tallahassee, who mounted an improbable bid to become the first Democrat in 24 years to be elected to Florida's highest office. He has campaigned on a decisively progressive agenda that include raising the minimum wage to $15 per hour and a Medicare-for-All, single-payer style healthcare system.

DeSantis, by contrast, is a former navy prosecutor and ex-congressman who rose to prominence as a Trump acolyte. He favors cutting taxes for business and appointing conservatives to the state supreme court, and has labeled his opponent a "socialist".

But the policy differences have largely been overshadowed by the persistence of racial politics, culminating in one of the most dramatic buildups to the 6 November election.

Tensions were further enflamed in recent weeks after a series of packages containing explosive devices were sent to several top Democrats and Trump critics. The suspect, Cesar Sayoc, was a resident of Florida. Days later, 11 people were killed at a synagogue in Pittsburgh.

The events all but ensured that the final days going into the midterms elections would be defined not by local issues, but a hyper-partisan battle for the country's identity.

As political violence continued to dominate the news, the crowd awaiting Gillum outside the African American Research Library in Fort Lauderdale was almost in a trance.

Gathered in the building's parking lot, the roughly 200 people who had braved south Florida's sweltering heat rocked back and forth to the soothing sounds of We Are the World, the famous 1985 charity song intended to emphasize global unity.

But the atmosphere was short-lived as Eric Holder, the attorney general under Barack Obama, took the stage. He had barely uttered a few words when a heckler, clutching a megaphone, asked: "Why won't you condemn mob violence?"

Holder, who was among those mailed a pipe bomb last week, retorted: "Yeah, yeah, yeah. Why don't you cut out the fake outrage, my man?"

Another heckler raised his voice. Within minutes, a minor scuffle broke out in the crowd – forcing the swift intervention of police officers. Urging the crowd to channel their emotions into action at the ballot box, Gillum told attendees to "vote like your lives depend on it".

If elected, Gillum vowed to expand Medicaid, raise salaries for teachers, enact stricter gun laws and combat climate change. But the moment, as Gillum described it, was about much more than his own prospects.

"I am eager to send a message to the president of the United States," Gillum said, "that his kind of politics, that his brand of politics, his brand of hatred, his brand of division, his brand of attempting to turn Americans against Americans, citizen against citizen, humanity against humanity, has come to an end in the state of Florida."

Trump carried Florida in 2016 by a 1.6% margin over Hillary Clinton. The state, which had elected Obama twice before, is often referred to by Trump as his second home. The president often spends weekends at his Mar-a-Lago resort in West Palm Beach.

Although he condemned the pipe bombs, Trump was also defensive. He blamed the media for perpetuating anger and chafed at the notion that his own rhetoric might have been a factor.

Sayoc, the suspect, frequently tweeted about Gillum. Gillum said Trump and DeSantis bore some responsibility for using "extremely charged rhetoric … that hit at a deep emotion for their supporters".

"Those same supporters then begin to take license from that to then take it to another extreme," Gillum told the Guardian. "Now, did Donald Trump put the gun in the hand of somebody? No."

"But did he help to sow seeds of discord, did he help to give cover for that kind of thinking, under the shelter of his words? Then yes, I would conclude that the president is in some ways complicit in the deteriorated rhetoric that is leading people to resort to political violence."

With his wife, Casey, at his side, DeSantis warmed the crowd with an anecdote about being a father to young children. One particular morning was so chaotic, he noted, that he failed to notice when brushing his teeth that his daughter, Madison, had replaced the toothpaste with diaper rash cream.

The crowd packed inside Leroy's Southern Kitchen, a downtown restaurant in the red-leaning city of Punta Gorda, laughed heartily. But the conversation soon took a more ominous tone.

"We have a generational opportunity with this election to protect the rule of law," DeSantis warned.

"Law enforcement looks at Andrew Gillum, and they don't see someone they can work with. They see an enemy."

DeSantis, who rolled out several endorsements from police unions, has sought to make Gillum's relationship with law enforcement a focal point in the closing days of the election.

It appeared an unmistakable attempt to talk about police brutality – a conversation that has stemmed from several high-profile killings of unarmed black men. Gillum has said he favors "police accountability" and believes officers must restore trust in the communities they serve.

The mood grew somber inside Leroy's. Attendees quietly nodded as DeSantis suggested Gillum would usher in "the most radical anti-police elements" inside the governor's office.

DeSantis decried Gillum as favoring the abolition of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Ice), a law enforcement arm of the Department of Homeland Security. (Gillum wants Ice to be "abolished in its current form" and replaced with "a more compassionate and focused" agency.)

"How is that keeping our communities safe?" an incredulous DeSantis asked the crowd, comprised mostly of older white men and women.

DeSantis wasted little time fashioning himself in Donald Trump's image, running a television ad in which he encouraged his two-year-old to "build the wall" with her toy blocks. In the same spot, DeSantis read Trump's book, The Art of the Deal, and attempted to teach his infant daughter how to talk by saying "Make America Great Again".

DeSantis's ascent to the Republican nomination in August, much like Trump's in 2016, was the result of an insurgent campaign that defied the wishes of the party establishment. He defeated Adam Putnam, Florida's incumbent commissioner of agriculture, long regarded as the successor to outgoing Republican governor Rick Scott.

A regular on Fox News, DeSantis positioned himself as a close ally of the president's and has repeatedly attacked Robert Mueller's credibility. DeSantis garnered Trump's endorsement in the primary despite the White House's insistence that Trump would not get involved in the Florida governor's race.

In the Democratic primary, Gillum pulled off his own stunning victory over Gwen Graham, a north Florida congresswoman who had been comfortably ahead in the polls. In doing so, Gillum became the first African American major-party candidate for governor in Florida's history.

The contrast became apparent: a progressive, Bernie-Sanders backed Democrat against a Republican torchbearer for the Trumpian brand of politics.

But the dust had barely settled when the topic of race swiftly reared its head.

On Fox News the day after the primary, DeSantis urged Floridians not to "monkey this up" by voting for his opponent. His remark derided as a dog whistle. DeSantis refused to apologize, insisting he meant no racial intent, even as Fox News distanced itself from the remarks.

Gillum said the language was nothing short of coded and, in fact, a tactical move by DeSantis to appeal to a certain faction.

As both candidates looked to refocus attention on policy, it became clear the controversy had only just begun.

Days later, a white supremacist group released a robocall referring to Gillum as a "negro" and a "monkey". The same group released a second robocall last week, featuring a man claiming to be Gillum, stating in a caricature of a black dialect: "I is the negro Andrew Gillum, and I be asking you to make me governor of this here state of Florida."

DeSantis' campaign denounced the ads, but Gillum said the rhetoric had emboldened such voices and condemned the Republican for holding ties to neo-Nazis. As evidence, Gillum has cited DeSantis' refusal to return funds from a donor who referred to Barack Obama as a "Muslim n—" and his appearance at a conference with a host of alt-right figures, including former White House chief strategist Steven Bannon.

Gego Payne, a resident of Fort Lauderdale who voted early for Gillum, said the racial politics were impossible for black voters to ignore.

"He comes out racist right off the bat, calling [Gillum] a monkey," Payne, a retired construction worker, said of Desantis. "What it said is that he and Trump are the same person."

The president was greeted by a sea of red in south-west Florida, where more than 7,000 supporters donning Make America Great Again caps and pro-Trump shirts packed the Hertz Arena after queuing for hours under the beaming sun.

Stumping on behalf of DeSantis and others in Fort Myers, a Republican stronghold, Trump hit all the usual notes. He spoke mostly of his own success and how the media had treated him unfairly, and sounded the alarm over a group of migrants fleeing poverty and violence in Honduras and bound for the US-Mexico border.

"We're getting prepared for the caravan, folks, you don't have to worry about that," Trump told the crowd. "A vote for Democrats is a vote to liquidate America's borders."

As he took the stage midway through the president's rally, DeSantis didn't hesitate to relish in the potential Trump effect.

"Is south-west Florida Trump country or what?" he yelled.

As DeSantis railed against Gillum, chants of "Lock him up!" reverberated – echoing the "lock her up" cries long a staple of Trump rallies in reference to Hillary Clinton.

DeSantis and his allies have pounced on a federal inquiry into Tallahassee's city government and drawn attention to a ticket Gillum received in 2016 to see the Broadway musical Hamilton from a group that included an undercover FBI agent.

There is no evidence Gillum is being personally investigated and he has not been charged with a crime.

Trump nonetheless escalated the matter two days before his arrival in Florida, stating on Twitter that Gillum was a "thief".

"In Florida there is a choice between a Harvard/Yale educated man named RonDeSantis who has been a great Congressman and will be a great Governor – and a Dem who is a thief and who is Mayor of poorly run Tallahassee, said to be one of the most corrupt cities in the Country!" Trump tweeted.

The White House could not substantiate the president's characterization of Gillum.

Gillum told the Guardian the comments were another example of the president failing to show restraint.

"I think the president should grow up," he said. "These kinds of attacks are baseless, but mostly unfortunate, because I think this is the kind of stuff that gives rise to people.

"I think the president should demonstrate much more maturity and restraint."

Polling has shown a tight race in Florida, with Gillum marginally ahead, according to some averages.

His fate will likely be determined by whether he can corral a coalition of minority and progressive voters, although that has not stopped him seeking support in Republican-leaning counties.

DeSantis, by contrast, told the Guardian he believed Trump had the power to persuade "tens of thousands of people to go to the polls who may not otherwise have been willing to do it".

In the final stretch, he has kept little distance between himself and Trump – throwing his support behind the president's call to end birthright citizenship.

But while hugging Trump helped propel DeSantis to become a contender for the governor's office, it's unclear how Trump will factor on Tuesday.

"DeSantis has been snake-bitten from the minute he did that Trump ad. That made it a base-only contest," said Rick Wilson, a Republican operative in Florida and the author of Everything Trump Touches Dies.

"If you're a Donald Trump guy, you probably like DeSantis just fine. But that's only 35% in Florida, and last time I checked you have to get to 51."

For more infomation >> Heckles, jabs, coded insults Floridas battle for governor exposes bitter racial divide US news - Duration: 10:42.

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Shelby Lentz – a champion for Huntington's Disease - Duration: 8:15.

For more infomation >> Shelby Lentz – a champion for Huntington's Disease - Duration: 8:15.

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Shop for unique gifts and a great cause - Duration: 5:18.

For more infomation >> Shop for unique gifts and a great cause - Duration: 5:18.

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Azure AI: Making AI real for your business - GS009 - Duration: 1:18:07.

For more infomation >> Azure AI: Making AI real for your business - GS009 - Duration: 1:18:07.

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The 311 Weekend for November 2 - November 4 - Duration: 2:04.

Hello, and welcome to the 311 Weekend, I'm Emily and I'll be helping out Laura as from

time to time as your guide to New York City sponsored events and services happening in

the next few days.

Before we begin: Your vote is your voice so make sure it's heard!

The 2018 General Elections will take place on Tuesday, November 6 and poll sites will

be open Citywide from 6:00 AM to 9:00 PM.

Find your nearest poll site using the onscreen link or by downloading the free NYC311 mobile

app.

And don't forget about the Flip Your Ballot initiative!

And now onto the weekend!

The events I talk about are free, unless I mention otherwise.

First: We all get an extra hour of sleep this weekend!

Why?

Well, the Daylight Saving Time will end on Sunday, November 4 at 2:00 AM so remember

to Fall Back and turn your clocks back by one hour.

Second: Don't trash your pumpkins, smash 'em!! at Hudson River Park's Community Compost

Program!

Dispose of your pumpkins in an eco-friendly sustainable way by composting them all while

playing fun games and feasting on yummy treats Third: The 2018 TCS New York City Marathon

is back!

This Sunday, November 4, the New York Road Runners will be welcoming more than 50,000

runners who will race across the city to finish a 26.2-mile-long course.

The marathon will start at 9:00 AM and may create significant traffic delays, so think

about taking public transportation.

Learn more about where to watch and cheer along the runners at the link.

Finally: Alternate Side Parking rules will be suspended on Tuesday, November 6 for Election

Day and Diwali.

All other parking regulations, including parking meters will remain in effect.

In addition, all government offices, public schools will be closed and there will no garbage

collection.

Well, that's a wrap!

Thanks for joining us, and we'll see you next weekend.

For more infomation >> The 311 Weekend for November 2 - November 4 - Duration: 2:04.

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VIDEO: Locals line up for last day of record-breaking early voting run - Duration: 1:48.

For more infomation >> VIDEO: Locals line up for last day of record-breaking early voting run - Duration: 1:48.

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Jackson hosts annual Dinner for a Difference - Duration: 0:29.

For more infomation >> Jackson hosts annual Dinner for a Difference - Duration: 0:29.

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Rafinha apologises for dressing up as Arab 'bomber' for Halloween - Duration: 3:33.

Bayern Munich defender Rafinha has apologised after turning up to the club's Halloween party dressed as an Arab holding what appear to be mock explosives

The Brazilian was pictured alongside a number of his team-mates on Wednesday holding a box labelled 'Vorsicht' - the German word for caution

'Halloween is a scary celebration with exaggerated costumes,' Rafinha said.'It was not my intention to anger anyone through my disguise or hurt someone's feelings

' 'I am sorry, I am (sic) respect all countries and all religions!' Bayern Munich's official Twitter account posted the photo of several players dressed in fancy dress on Wednesday

One players came dressed as 'Jigsaw' from the Saw movies, while others wore ghost costumes

But it was Rafinha's choice of attire that caught the eye in the picture, which was later taken down

Rafinha also removed his original apology, posted on Instagram, which featured a picture of him wearing the thawb and keffiyeh

The Brazilian is the not the first footballer to hit the headlines for a controversial choice of fancy dress costume

Last year, Atletico Madrid star Antoine Griezmann faced backlash for painting his body black when he dressed up as a Harlem Globetrotter basketball player

Rafinha has also faced criticism online, with Bayern urged to take action against the 'uncultured' player

'We are disappointed.(Rafinha) thought it would be funny to portray Arabs as terrorists,' one fan wrote on Twitter

'He represents Bayern and a large part of Bayern's fanbase are Arabs.We demand an apology

#UnculturedRafinha' Another added: 'Someone's culture is never okay to be your costume

But that was not enough for him so he carried around boxes that look like explosives

For more infomation >> Rafinha apologises for dressing up as Arab 'bomber' for Halloween - Duration: 3:33.

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Mold Repair & Peen for Ductile Iron Pipe - Duration: 0:49.

These molds form different pipe sizes joint types during the casting process.

McWane Ductile molds are made from high-quality steel, but after time they

need to be refurbished. In our machine shop

welders repair damage at the Bell & spigot ends of a mold it's then given

to a machinist who uses a large lathe to cut them all down to the proper

specifications. Next the mold is placed into the painting machine where a

carbide tipped punch creates the pane in a rotating mold. This pattern is designed

for efficient casting. It catches the molten iron, and the inoculant dust

during the casting process this dust helps the newly cast pipe release from

the mold. This is why ductile iron pipe have a bumpy rather than smooth outer

surface.

For more infomation >> Mold Repair & Peen for Ductile Iron Pipe - Duration: 0:49.

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Disco Pints (like a party for your beer) - Duration: 5:39.

I'm Master Cicerone Mirella Amato and this is my friend Matt. (Hey!) Today we're

doing our fourth beer gadget review. (Number four.) If you missed any of the

previous ones, not to panic, I'll be posting a link which you can

follow there. Right there. Get into it! So, today we're talking about the Sonic

Foamer which is this lovely machine right here. The one thing I love about

this is that it kind of looks like a coaster so I feel like it blends in at

the home. Not like the other products where it really kind of stands out. This

has a place. It takes six AA batteries, which you put into

the back here, just by unscrewing the cover, and then simple flip of

the switch. There you go. We've got it on! Okay, so this is called the Sonic Foamer

but it actually uses the same technology as our previous gadget which is ultrasonic.

This device, however, does not go into the beer. And, so, for conductivity we do need to

add two teaspoons of water into this little tray right here, Matt.

Yes, I will do that. You've got one. You really want to spread it around a little bit, darling. Oh. Yasss!

Lovely. Well executed. Perfect, I know. It's like I've done it before.

So, this device here has actually had a moment in the spotlight it was

featured on Jay Leno. Oooh!

You press the button. Look at that!

Huh, guys, where can you get head like that for $80

this is the closest I've ever been to real celebrity so this is a moment for me

Wow! Well, do you want to show us how it works, Matt?

Yes, of course, now that I'm all starstruck. Okay, so we're gonna open up

our beer and like all other beers that we've been pouring to show, we're gonna

get this little head on that as possible, really trap in that carbonation. There we go. That should be good.

Alright, and then we're gonna put it on to the little plate here. Into that puddle!

Into that puddle, and then we're just gonna push this button here and watch it

happen. Oooh! Woe! have you ever seen something so beautiful? Look at that.

I mean, it's mesmerizing almost. You just want to keep pushing it. It's addictive.

I'm addicted to this button. Oh! Another fun feature on this thing: over here on

the other side is a little light button, and when you press the lights change colour!

Yes! It's almost like we're in a nightclub! A little disco!

Yaaas! Get into it!

So, I think we can conclude, looking at this foam here, that ultrasonic waves are

an effective way to knock carbonation out of beer. In fact, it might have been a

little bit too effective in this case. But, I can confirm that this beer here

will for sure, 100%, pass the bloat test, which is cute! (Cute!) My one concern here, Matt

is this puddle and what's gonna happen to that when you pick up the beer; I feel

like we might get a drip. Okay, well let's see what happens. Not too bad. Oh, but we've got one drip! Oh, there it is!

But, with a little glide of your hand, it's all gone! It's a to-do. Let's do a little taste test, see what.....yeah, I

definitely killed the carbonation. For sure. Well, there you go boys and girls.

Let that be a lesson to you: if you have a Sonic Foamer at home, don't get carried

away with the button. You'll kill your beer. (But it's fun!) Okay, to summarize this

what I would say is that, out of all the products. it definitely is the funnest.

I do like the coaster design of it, so that it blends in. And, really, out of all

the products that we've used here this really is the best foam that we've

seen and it's holding beautifully. Like, this is gorgeous! That's a solid

head of foam right there. Solid. Like, that's amazing. For myself, I can't really

get past the price Jay Leno mentioned that it was $80 at the time, it's still

sitting at 75. So for me, at that price, I can just knock the carbonation out with

the proper pour. You know what, that is the steep price and, you're right, you can

knock the carbonation out with a little pour but you won't have as much fun. I

can guarantee that. So, in summary the review of the Sonic Foamer is that it is

Riveting but Dear and Drippy. A little bit but, minor detail. Alright, so make

sure you come back and see us next time because we're gonna review our fifth and

final gadget here. We're gonna be talking about the Frozen Draught Machine.

Which I'm very excited about! She is. She has not stopped

talking about it! To make sure you catch that video ,subscribe to my channel. Right

there! Let's do it! Matt, do you want to take us out? Yasss! Let's get a little mood here. Let's go!

Get into it! Yassss!

Ooh, that's tasty! (I'm addicted to this button!)

For more infomation >> Disco Pints (like a party for your beer) - Duration: 5:39.

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Join us Nov. 13 for a special holiday livestream event - Duration: 0:26.

Hello, hello, Dave here from Constant Contact.

I'm hoping you can join us on November 13th

for our Holiday Email Magic with Constant Contact

livestream event.

We're very excited, we're going to be talking about

the ways that you can take some last-minute ideas

to make the most of the holiday season,

how to put a simple holiday promotional plan into place,

and then we're gonna talk about how you can prepare

for ongoing success after the holidays.

Hope you can join us!

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