Howard Schultz is the answer no one is looking for Politics
The negative reaction has been swift and striking and somewhat surprising. See Twitter feed.
The fear is that Schultz, with his dollar 3 billion, can spend endlessly on a bid, get on ballots in every state, command attention on TV and dilute the .
"He should stick to coffee," Democratic Rep. Pramila Jayapal, who represents most of Seattle, quipped to reporters including CNNs Ashley Killough on Tuesday.
"If he wants to run, he should run as a Democrat," added the Congressional Progressive Caucus co chair. "I dont understand why hes running as an independent."
Democratic Rep. Marc Pocan, the other caucus co chair, said Schultz is "carving out the grumpy get off my lawn lane."
"He seems to be criticizing everything," Pocan said. "He wants to find his own lane to run in, but he doesnt seem, for a billionaire, to be especially astute to how politics is."
Where are the votes?
And for now, nobody except maybe Schultz actually thinks he can win the White House, .
He . For who though?
Who is the Schultz voter? Is it the kind of voter who backed Green Party candidate Jill Stein in 2016, possibly taking votes away from Hillary Clinton? Or is it the kind of voter who backed Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson in 2016, possibly taking votes away from Hillary Clinton? Or did Johnson take votes away from Trump?
President Donald Trump clearly buys the argument that Schultz, a life long Democrat, would take votes away from the Democrat. On Twitter he said Schultz didnt have the guts to enter the race i.e. please, please, please get into the race and help me in 2020.
So far, Schultzs testing of the political waters hasnt been so great.
"Dont help elect Trump, you egotistical billionaire a asterisk asterisk hole," a protester yelled at a Schultz book event in New York City Monday night. "Go back to getting ratio ed on Twitter. Go back to Davos with the other billionaire elites who think they know how to run the world. Thats not what democracy is."
This heckler suggests a few dynamics at play that will shape Schultzs political fortunes.
People either really love or really hate Trump. Its not that the middle is silent, its just not really there.
While the share of people who call themselves independents is at an all time high, the partisanship among those independents is also at an all time high. Independents lean toward one party or the other, and while they have some negative feelings toward the party they lean toward, they really hate the opposing party,.
Speaking of hate ... the class of people who isnt exactly beloved? Billionaires! Yes, Trump is a billionaire, but he ran as a cultural conservative, "blue collar" billionaire, who guaranteed no cuts to Medicare or Social Security. He ran as the "King of Debt" ... as a Republican.
Schultz is betting that there is a block of voters who are up for grabs and alienated from the party they identify with concerned about the cost of government programs and debt and deficits .
Those dont sound like Stein, Johnson or Ralph Nader type voters. They actually sound more like Republican voters, who, , are still very high on Trump and in theory care about curbing government spending.
What are the policies?
But Schultz isnt at all deterred. Are rich businesspeople ever deterred from the idea that their skills are transferable?
On ABCs "The View," Schultz, directly criticized Democratic Sen. Kamala Harris, and by extension, all the Medicare for all Democrats, saying that he didnt agree with that "kind of extreme policy." No word yet on what policy he does agree with.
"If he runs against a far, left progressive person who is suggesting 60 70 percent tax increases on the rich and a health care system we cant pay for, President Trump is going to get re elected," Schultz said, raising a tax idea suggested by who is not old enough to run for President.
shows broad support for increasing taxes on families earning over dollar 1 million a year 65 70 percent support increasing tax rate for this group.
Schultz should also look at the . A majority of Democrats and independents favor various iterations of this idea. And even a majority of Republicans favor allowing people over age 50 to buy into Medicare. The one caveat on the polling: Not all Medicare expansion plans are the same and there is more support for some than for others, .
about his claim Medicare for all is "un American," Schultz offered: "Its not that its not American. Its unaffordable."
American political campaigns are littered with candidates who are media darlings, who gain little traction among voters because their base isnt real, its just been conjured up by TV talking heads. Wesley Clark, Mitch Daniels, Jon Huntsman and Bill Bradley come to mind.
The two party ticket is a similar fantasy. In reality, peoples party affiliation is very often an expression of their identity of what they like and just as importantly what they dont like.
Schultzs neither here nor there approach to the party system and the policies they represent sounds good in theory, but in reality voters are attached to party ideology, leaders and labels even if they dont like to admit it.
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