Waching daily Jun 5 2017

The US Unemployment Rate Is Now Below The Average Recession Entry Point

by Tyler Durden

We have begun to see the 'event-horizon' (Lance Roberts) of an economic slowdown in several

indicators.

Adding to that, and counter-intuitively perhaps, an unemployment rate this low (4.29%) is a

signal to run-away from Stocks and run-to Treasuries.

Historically, unemployment rate lows have occurred at, or very near-to, market inflection

points preceding recessions (see green and red hash marks in chart below).

The unemployment rate just released on 6/2/2017 at 4.29% is now just below the average unemployment

"entry prior" to recessions over the last 67 years, at 4.4%.

Also, it is now below the low before the "Great Recession" 10 years ago, at 4.4% in March

of 2007.

While further improvement in employment is certainly possible, it has become senseless

to bet on that it does.

As we have shown before, the yield curve does not need to invert to enter a recession.

While that phenomenon is a post-World War II normality, it is a post-Depression aberration,

and many recession warning indicators are falsely conditioned to look for this first.

Be careful.

For more infomation >> The US Unemployment Rate Is Now Below The Average Recession Entry Point - Duration: 1:43.

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What is A Leveling Kit? | Morris 4x4 Center - Duration: 2:26.

what is going on my fellow jeepers Erik with Morse 4x4 I'm coming back at you

one more time with an answer to a very common question that we get here at

Morris 4x4 Center that is what is a leveling kit now if you've looked at the

front of your Jeep you may have noticed that the front sits a lot lower than it

does for the rear Jeep does this from the factory to help maintain better

stability of the vehicle and all driving situations a lot of people find this

unsightly and that is what the leveling kit is for so basically what it consists

of in most situations is a polyurethane spacer that you're going to put in

between the front coil spring in the cold spring bucket it's going to raise

the front of the Jeep up level with the rear so you're going to be able to put a

lot larger tire under the Jeep and it just makes the overall appearance of the

vehicle much more appealing so leveling kits come in a variety of sizes

basically they start at three quarters of an inch and you'll generally see them

go all the way up to two and a half inches depending on your application now

leveling kids don't just strictly single out the front

there's also kit that will level the front and the rear with spacers of

different sizes and as well as there are some suspension lifts that are designed

to level the vehicle as well so basically that leveling kit is going to

give you that small bump and lift height to put on a little bit larger tire size

if you're not looking to make huge modifications to your vehicle or let's

say you do have a very tall lifted Jeep and you need that little extra bit of

lift you can stick a leveling kit in there to go from let's say you run in

37th and you just need that extra lift for 40s you might want to look at a

leveling kit to get the job done okay I hope I dropped a ton of useful

information into your hands to help you guys become a more diverse Jeep owner

now if you haven't already hit that subscribe button follow us on YouTube

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of awesome content on there you don't want to miss out on guys my

name is Eric I appreciate you watching so much and I hope to see you guys next

time out on the trail

For more infomation >> What is A Leveling Kit? | Morris 4x4 Center - Duration: 2:26.

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Why This is the Day of the Data Visionary - Duration: 1:16.

I think the CTO role is evolving to that of a data visionary.

We'll see that transition continuing probably

for another 10 years.

The key is that those people who are in the old model,

have to transition to become more and more focused on data

and ultimately to be the data visionary for their company.

Large enterprises are using data to transform themselves.

They're recognizing that through the use of data,

they can radically change their business.

In some cases,

instead of delivering and selling a jet engine,

they can give that product to the customer,

and they can charge a subscription fee

or even share in the savings that the airline sees.

That's using the data

that was originally used to run the business,

and they're turning it into a new business.

Customers have to think about their use of data in a new way

and the data visionary has to be their trusted advisor

to help guide them.

I'm Mark Bregman, and I'm data driven.

For more infomation >> Why This is the Day of the Data Visionary - Duration: 1:16.

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Why Lip Augmentation is More Predictable and Heals Faster with Cosmetic Fillers Over Fat Grafting - Duration: 9:07.

Thank you for your question.

You're asking a question about having potentially fat grafting to the cheeks and the lips but

you have a concern due to a particular diet regimen where you eat one meal a day and you

have a perception that it's likely that fat would get absorbed very rapidly.

And you're asking about alternatives.

Well, certainly I can share with you my experience with this type of question which comes up

in different variations in our office particularly as it relates to diets.

A little bit of background, I'm a Board-certified cosmetic surgeon and Fellowship-trained oculofacial

plastic and reconstructive surgeon.

I have been in practice in Manhattan and Long Island for over 20 years.

And essentially, the evolution of solutions for this type of augmentation has really been

a tremendous benefit for my patients and I'll explain further.

To begin with, prior to 2005, before Restylane came on the scene, the search for the ideal

filler for a surgeon was essentially trying to do fat grafting.

We were basically working very hard and a lot of leading innovators with fat grafting

were essentially mentors to all of us to learn the art and science of fat grafting.

And certainly, fat grafting does have potential benefit.

But as time went on and even to this day, my major frustration with fat grafting is

predictability.

The challenge with fat grafting is that still, 30-70% of the fat can be absorbed.

And really, when we talk about fat grafting, we're talking about fatty tissue which means

it's a combination of fat and other parts of the tissue when you do liposuction.

Now, yes, there are many more refinements in the fat refining process these days.

But I would like to point out that for a lot of our patients who live and work in New York

City and in tri-state area, their lives are very busy.

Very often they have similar types of diets.

They can be very low carb, they can be vegan and they exercise a lot.

So, people who live very busy lives, work long hours, have very regimented diets and

have this type of lifestyle.

Essentially, you can get fat from them but at the same time, predictability is such an

important value.

So move the clock forward and we actually have injectable fillers which can provide

us with many of the things that we like about fat.

One limitation of any injectable filler is that it can't last "forever".

I say that in quotes because nobody lasts forever.

Everyone's face continues to evolve and change.

And I see this in my practice when I see people who had fat grafting done 15 or 20 years ago,

they aged and there's bone loss, there's soft tissue loss.

There are various changes and it doesn't look quite the same in not such a good way.

So we now have a wide range of fillers that allow me to essentially do correction such

as lip volume augmentation.

The fillers essentially that are predominantly used are all in the hyaluronic acid family.

And whether it's the Juvederm family or the Restylane family, we really have a wide

range of options.

So when it comes to fillers, we're looking at fillers at a point of view of being able

to achieve a particular result, being able to minimize any swelling and bruising so that

a person can get back to their normal life quickly and we want longevity.

And so, we do actually have many of the best of all worlds because one thing that is less

tolerated now than it was 10-15 plus years ago is inconvenience.

People have less time.

At least this is the impression I get in my practice regardless of which location we're

at.

No one has time.

Everyone needs to look good for an important event in few days to like a few hours.

So it really is, we live in really time intensive lives.

So when it comes to fat grafting, there is a much longer period of healing and resolution

of swelling than with injectable fillers.

And with injectable fillers such as, let's say you want to improve your cheeks, well

we use a technique called structural volumizing where augmenting and enhancing the cheekbones

can be done literally in minutes using techniques such as cannulas and a method that involves

placing the filler under the muscle using fillers that are long lasting such as Juvederm

Voluma.

You're able to achieve a result that will give you, that can be very nicely refined

and predictably refined and it can be placed in minutes and it can last over a year up

to two years.

So for a cheek augmentation, it's really fantastic.

For lip augmentation, it varies.

It depends on what type of lip augmentation you need.

But generally speaking, comparable methods using cannulas is my preferred approach to

minimizing the swelling, minimizing bruising and getting very nice natural looking results.

So whether you're a young person looking to enhance or augment your lips or a person

who is, let's 35, 40 or over, who's trying to restore lost volume, these procedures can

be very convenient and predictable and certainly, achieve what you want.

I think that from my perspective, even though I haven't seen your photo, I would suspect

that likely if someone like yourself comes to my practice, we have this type of discussion

so you can be informed and make an appropriate choice that's right for you.

So I hope that was helpful, I wish you the best of luck and thank you for your question.