Brussels, 1928
The surrealist Magritte paints a highly curious work.
Brussels, 2008
This time it's the politicians' turn.
It's an ambitious project:
to pump up to 120 billion cubic metres
of Caspian gas across six countries to Europe.
The inspiration?
To meet Europe's future energy demands.
And to gain energy independence
from
Russia.
Currently,
Russia provides nearly 30% of the EU's natural gas.
Given Russia's previous behaviour,
Europe has good reason to worry.
So,
to diversify energy supplies,
getting gas from Azerbaijan instead makes sense.
Or does it?
Azerbaijan has never had a free and fair election.
Political arrests,
torture
and disappearances
are common.
Recently
the regime was accused of bribing EU politicians
to soften them up for the pipeline deal.
... A deal that's very interesting to
Turkey,
currently in a state of emergency
and also becoming extremely authoritarian.
If the EU is so critical of Russia,
should it really be enriching these regimes?
The pipeline is already causing suffering on the ground.
In Italy, there will be impacts on tourism,
water quality
and people's livelihoods.
In Albania and Greece,
the pipeline crosses farmers' land,
with little compensation.
And then there's the wider problem of our changing climate.
The Paris agreement states
we need to aim for a low carbon economy.
But building massive new gas infrastructure
will lock us
into this damaging fossil fuel
for decades to come. Each dollar invested
will result in damage
of up to 13 dollars from global climate change.
If we end up using it:
The dropping price of renewables
is casting Europe's future demand for gas
into doubt.
When renewables come fully online,
this pipeline
will end up as a huge,
useless source of debt
for European citizens.
And there's another can of worms.
The gas emerging from the Azerbaijani gas fields
has been much less than promised - certainly not enough to justify the pipeline's cost.
So more gas will be needed
to fill the pipeline.
Guess where from?
That's right.
Since its gas may end up
coming through the pipeline anyway,
Russia won't be too troubled
by this project.
In fact,
Russia may well find it amusing
that Europe has given billions to countries
with terrible human rights records,
undermined its own values and principles,
spent its budget on a white elephant,
and locked us into fossil fuels,
all whilst undermining
the renewable energy revolution:
the real threat
to Russia's oligarchy.
This pipeline,
however the EU paints it,
is the true
Treachery of Images.
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